
Organization Forecast
Organization Forecast
Visualize an organization's past, present, and future emissions – and instantly see if it is on-track for its climate targets.
The Forecast tab helps you understand how a single organization is progressing – or expected to progress – toward its stated reduction targets.
It brings historical disclosure, linear Science–Based Targets (SBT) trajectories, and trend-based projections together in one place so you can engage suppliers with data-driven insight.
What You'll See at a Glance
- Interactive emissions chart combining:
- Historical emissions (solid columns)
- Target line – straight, green line showing the linear path required to meet the selected reduction target
- 2-year trend projection – dashed blue line extrapolating the last two years of performance
- 5-year trend projection – dashed purple line extrapolating the last five years of performance
- Targets table listing every active reduction target (end year ≥ 2026) and a simple on-track emoji for each:
- ✅ both 2- and 5-year trends meet or exceed the required annual reduction rate
- 🟡 only one trend is on track or the other lacks data
- ❌ neither trend is on track
- ➖ insufficient data for both trends
- Scope & Classification toggles so you can switch between:
- Scopes: All Scopes, Scope 1, Scope 2, Scope 3 (upstream), Scope 3 (total)
- Target type: Absolute (kgCO₂e) or Intensity (kgCO₂e / revenue)
How the Forecast Is Calculated
- Historical data comes from the organization's disclosed performance (Scope 1, 2, and 3) in its annual reports.
- Target line uses the organization's applicable reduction target (SBTi, annual report, or national-level fallback) and shows the straight-line trajectory from baseline year → target year.
- Trends & projections measure the compound annual reduction rate over the most recent 2-year and 5-year windows – if enough data exists – and project that rate forward to 2050.
- On-track status simply checks whether each trend's annual reduction rate is ≥ the rate required by the target line.
These calculations exactly mirror the logic outlined in our Organization Forecast Specification and are executed automatically in the background. Results are cached so the tab loads instantly once processing is complete.
Practical Ways to Use This View
- Spot risk early – if a key supplier shows 🟡 or ❌ flags, open a dialogue about their decarbonisation plan before it jeopardises your own goals.
- Validate commitments – compare corporate marketing claims with the hard math of historical performance.
- Choose the right metric – swap to Intensity when you need to account for rapid growth or inflation.
- Drill into Scopes – isolate Scope 3 (upstream) to see whether purchased-goods emissions are coming down fast enough.
Tips & Tricks
- Hover on any data point to see the precise kgCO₂e value and year-on-year percentage change.
- Use the legend to temporarily hide lines and focus on a single trajectory.
- Historical bars extend only to the current reporting year – projections take over beyond that point.
- The chart automatically scales to 2050 when viewing All Scopes to accommodate net-zero targets.
Limitations to Keep in Mind
- Projections rely on past trends; sudden operational changes can alter the path.
- Intensity targets require revenue data – if none is available, intensity calculations default to zero.
- Very young companies with fewer than three years of disclosures may show limited or no projections.
Need help interpreting a forecast? Reach out via in-app chat or email support@ditchcarbon.com – our climate data team is happy to walk you through the numbers.
