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Forecast reliability notice
DitchCarbon warns on the forecast itself when an organisation's underlying disclosure is inconsistent or incomplete, and links to the disclosure so the reader can judge it.
Not always, and DitchCarbon says so on the chart. Where an organisation's Scope 3 reporting has missing years, large swings or patterns that do not hold together, a notice appears above the forecast telling you to treat it with caution, with a link to the disclosure it was built from.
A projection drawn from four inconsistent data points looks exactly like one drawn from fifteen good ones. That is the problem with forecasting on disclosed data, and the honest response is to say which you are looking at.
The notice is attached to the forecast rather than buried in a methodology page, because that is where the decision gets made. It names the reason: missing years, large variations, or patterns that suggest a reporting change rather than a real movement.
The link goes to the organisation's latest disclosure, so a reviewer can form their own view rather than accepting or discarding the forecast wholesale.
Coverage gaps are shown, not hidden. A forecast that quietly smoothed over a three year reporting hole would be more comfortable and less useful.
Common questions
See it on your own suppliers or portfolio companies
Numbers you can defend within 2 weeks.
